League Two

League Two | Gameweek 27

Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Grimsby Town

Curtis (62')

Thompson (29'), Holohan (44'), Andrews (64'), Hume (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Forest Green
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon are on cloud nine after a historic victory over their arch rivals on the weekend, and we believe that the Dons can carry the positive momentum into this midweek clash. Grimsby had to really scrap for a narrow win over fellow strugglers Forest Green last time out, and we think that the Mariners will not be as successful at Plough Lane on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.73%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Grimsby Town
49.73% ( -2.65)	23.89% ( 0.68)	26.38% ( 1.96)

Both teams to score 56.72% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12% (

-1.32)

44.88% (

1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.77% (

-1.28)

67.23% (

1.28)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87% (

-1.48)

18.13% (

1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.91% (

-2.59)

49.08% (

2.59)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.27% (

0.87)

30.72% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.02% (

1.01)

66.98% (

-1.02)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 49.73%

Grimsby Town 26.38%

Draw 23.88%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.73%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.38%