League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

Orsi (24'), Lolos (34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Crawley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Grimsby Town

Considering how much is on the line for Crawley this weekend it is hard to imagine them slipping up and dropping any points here, which is why they should get the win. However, the recent form of both teams will certainly make this a trickier game than the hosts would like. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Grimsby Town
39.7% ( 0.07)	24.06% ( -0)	36.23% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 61.13% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

41.27% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33%

63.67% (

-0)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

0.03)

20.94% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.31% (

0.05)

53.68% (

-0.05)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32% (

-0.04)

22.68% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.67% (

-0.05)

56.33% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 39.7%

Grimsby Town 36.23%

Draw 24.06%

Crawley Town	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 39.7%	1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.06%	1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.23%