League Two

League Two | Gameweek 12

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
0 - 1
Wrexham

Wright (70'), Gordon (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Palmer (13')
Palmer (33'), Mendy (43'), McClean (45+1'), Hayden (76'), Fletcher (82'), O'Connor (90+7')
Cannon (66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crawley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Wrexham

Crawley Town have the best home record in League Two, while Wrexham have not been particularly impressive on the road, with their only away win coming against 22nd-placed Tranmere Rovers. Given that three points separate the two sides in the table, they are clearly evenly-matched, so we are expecting a draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Wrexham
39.79% ( 0.17)	23.78% ( -0.01)	36.43% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 62.24% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.17% (

0.02)

39.83% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.81% (

0.02)

62.19% (

-0.03)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

0.09)

20.28% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.36% (

0.14)

52.64% (

-0.15)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.07% (

-0.07)

21.92% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.8% (

-0.11)

55.19% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 39.79%

Wrexham 36.43%

Draw 23.77%

Crawley Town	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 39.79%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.43%