League Two

League Two | Gameweek 15

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
2 - 3
Colchester

Goodman (7' og.), Wilson (52')
Andrews (39')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Taylor (11'), Mitchell (35'), Read (64')
Mitchell (22'), Dallison (60'), Egbo (66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Stockport 3-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Grimsby Town 2-1 Colchester United

Despite the Garner's departure, Grimsby could take advantage of Colchester's leaky rearguard to secure a slender victory in North East Lincolnshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Colchester United
43.86% ( -0.63)	25.45% ( -0.04)	30.69% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 54.54% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.9% (

0.48)

49.1% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.83% (

0.43)

71.17% (

-0.44)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

-0.09)

22.33% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.18% (

-0.14)

55.81% (

0.13)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23% (

0.71)

29.76% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.16% (

0.85)

65.83% (

-0.86)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 43.86%

Colchester United 30.69%

Draw 25.45%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.86%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.69%