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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
37.09% ( -1.67) | 24.06% ( -0.34) | 38.85% ( 2.02) |
Both teams to score 61.22% ( 1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.82% ( 1.68) | 41.18% ( -1.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.43% ( 1.69) | 63.57% ( -1.69) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.81% ( -0.1) | 22.19% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.4% ( -0.15) | 55.6% ( 0.15) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( 1.77) | 21.31% ( -1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% ( 2.66) | 54.26% ( -2.66) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.58) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.09% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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