League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
3 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Kemp (10'), Johnson (16' og.), O'Hora (22')
Payne (79')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Little (53')
Tilley (56')
Biler (65'), Kalambayi (73')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: MK Dons 2-1 AFC Wimbledon

MK Dons are currently in the playoffs and will be desperate to keep hold of their top-seven status against their bitter rivals on Tuesday night. Wimbledon are struggling in front of goal without their leading marksman, and we expect the visitors to return home without points from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
46.72% ( -0)	23.75%	29.53%

Both teams to score 59.66% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.9% (

42.09% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.5% (

64.5% (

-0)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.76% (

-0)

18.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.73% (

-0)

49.26% (

-0)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96%

27.03% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6% (

62.39% (

-0)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 46.72%

AFC Wimbledon 29.53%

Draw 23.75%

MK Dons	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.59% Total : 46.72%	1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 7.18% 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.53%