League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
3 - 2
Swindon

Dean (39'), O'Hora (66'), McEachran (84' og.)
Grant (27'), Harvie (54'), Eisa (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Young (59'), Blake-Tracy (90+4')
Clayton (29'), Khan (37'), McEachran (53'), Austin (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 4-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Swindon Town
41.83% ( 0.01)	23.96% ( -0)	34.21% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.09% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.85% (

-0)

41.15% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.46% (

-0)

63.54% (

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

19.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.95% (

0.01)

52.05% (

-0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28% (

-0.01)

23.72% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.15% (

-0.01)

57.84% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 41.83%

Swindon Town 34.21%

Draw 23.95%

MK Dons	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.83%	1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.95%	1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.21%