League Two

League Two | Gameweek 13

Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
1 - 0
Crawley

Slew (68')
Brown (8'), Khumbeni (45+1'), Songo'o (48'), Hiwula (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wright (10'), Williams (28'), Darcy (73'), Orsi (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Crawley Town

With an exceptional defensive record and lengthy recuperation period under their belts, Crawley can feel optimistic of avoiding a third successive loss against Morecambe, whose performances at home often leave a lot to be desired. However, the Shrimps can never be underestimated in the face of adversity, and we think that a contest as tight as the standings would suggest will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Crawley Town
38.86% ( -0.32)	25.9% ( 0.25)	35.24% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 54.49% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.2% (

-1.08)

49.8% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19% (

-0.97)

71.8% (

0.97)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

-0.66)

25.15% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13% (

-0.92)

59.87% (

0.93)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.79% (

-0.47)

27.2% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.38% (

-0.61)

62.62% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 38.86%

Crawley Town 35.24%

Draw 25.89%

Morecambe	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.86%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.24%