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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Notts County |
20.68% ( -3.18) | 22.32% ( 0.16) | 57% ( 3.03) |
Both teams to score 55% ( -4.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.11% ( -4.56) | 43.89% ( 4.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.72% ( -4.61) | 66.28% ( 4.61) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.84% ( -5.41) | 35.16% ( 5.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.09% ( -6.1) | 71.91% ( 6.1) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.82% ( -0.57) | 15.18% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.21% ( -1.1) | 43.79% ( 1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Notts County |
1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.57) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.58) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.27) Other @ 1.96% Total : 20.68% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.99) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.73) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.4) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.31% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 1.7) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 9.49% ( 1.45) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.8) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.53) 1-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.33) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.29) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.64% Total : 57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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