League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Prenton Park

Tranmere
2 - 1
Swindon

Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 0-3 Barrow
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Tranmere Rovers 2-1 Swindon Town

Given their recent run of results against the hosts, Swindon Town will fancy themselves to come away with the desired result this weekend. However, Tranmere have won their last three home games in the league and we are tipping them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Swindon Town
39.14% ( 0.05)	24.06% ( -0.04)	36.8% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 61.22% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.82% (

0.17)

41.18% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.43% (

0.18)

63.57% (

-0.18)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83% (

0.1)

21.17% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.96% (

0.16)

54.04% (

-0.16)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

0.07)

22.34% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.18% (

0.1)

55.82% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Tranmere Rovers 39.14%

Swindon Town 36.8%

Draw 24.05%

Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 39.14%	1-1 @ 11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.05%	1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.8%