Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 0
Empoli

Pulisic (40')
Reijnders (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fazzini (24'), Pezzella (53'), Zurkowski (65'), Cancellieri (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 4-2 Slavia Prague
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Now capable of scoring via a number of different sources, Milan should be able to rotate their squad between European contests and still take maximum points against Empoli. The Azzurri are much improved under Davide Nicola, but they must take a step-up in class on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Empoli
63.06% ( -0.08)	20.51% ( 0.05)	16.42% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.09% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.46% (

-0.2)

42.53% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.06% (

-0.2)

64.94% (

0.2)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.13% (

-0.08)

12.86% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.75% (

-0.17)

39.25% (

0.17)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.93% (

-0.09)

39.07% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.21% (

-0.08)

75.79% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 63.05%

Empoli 16.42%

Draw 20.51%

AC Milan	Draw	Empoli
2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 63.05%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.51%	0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.42%