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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Milan logo

Empoli
0 - 3
AC Milan


Marin (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Loftus-Cheek (11'), Giroud (31' pen.), Traore (88')
Calabria (41'), Jimenez (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 4-1 Cagliari
Tuesday, January 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Empoli 0-2 AC Milan

Everything points to a Milan win at the Castellani, where they have never been beaten in Serie A. With Empoli consistently coming up short in the final third, the Rossoneri should stride to victory and keep within striking distance of both Inter and Juve. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawAC Milan
23.83% (0.099 0.1) 24.33% (0.369 0.37) 51.84% (-0.476 -0.48)
Both teams to score 52.68% (-1.061 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (-1.456 -1.46)48.98% (1.448 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92% (-1.334 -1.33)71.07% (1.326 1.33)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)35.06% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (-0.753 -0.75)71.8% (0.745 0.75)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (-0.74000000000001 -0.74)18.88% (0.733 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65% (-1.243 -1.24)50.35% (1.235 1.24)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 23.83%
    AC Milan 51.84%
    Draw 24.33%
EmpoliDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.276 0.28)
2-1 @ 6.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.64% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 23.83%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.385 0.39)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 11.03% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-3 @ 5.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 51.84%

How you voted: Empoli vs AC Milan

Empoli
4.9%
Draw
8.6%
AC Milan
86.4%
81
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Oct 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Empoli
1-3
AC Milan
Bajrami (90+1')
Rebic (79'), Ballo-Toure (90+3'), Leao (90+6')
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
AC Milan
1-0
Empoli
Kalulu (19')
Tonali (90+4')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Empoli
2-4
AC Milan
Bajrami (18'), Pinamonti (84' pen.)
Romagnoli (62')
Kessie (12', 42'), Florenzi (63'), Hernandez (69')
Tonali (39'), Bennacer (80')
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
AC Milan
3-0
Empoli
Piatek (49'), Kessie (51'), Castillejo (67')
Calhanoglu (71')

Di Lorenzo (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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