La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 16, 2023 at 1pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 0
Cadiz

Guruzeta (66'), Villalibre (68'), Williams (90+1')
Paredes (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fali (46'), Alcaraz (50'), Gomez (87'), Hernandez (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, September 3 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 3-1 Villarreal
Friday, September 1 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Cadiz

Cadiz deserve huge credit for their solid start to the season, but Athletic will be the favourites here on home soil. Inaki Williams and Nico Williams could cause serious problems to the away side, and we are backing the Basque outfit to navigate their way to all three points at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Cadiz
56.53% ( 0.02)	24.47% ( -0.01)	19% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.84% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.25% (

0.01)

54.74% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.94% (

0.01)

76.06% (

-0.01)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.73% (

0.01)

19.26% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49% (

0.02)

50.99% (

-0.02)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.78% (

-0.01)

43.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.52% (

-0.01)

79.47% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 56.53%

Cadiz 19%

Draw 24.46%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Cadiz
1-0 @ 13.71% 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 56.53%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.46%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 19%