La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 20, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Las Palmas

Gomez (90+4')
Williams (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Araujo (38'), Perrone (68'), Cardona (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Atletico
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Las Palmas

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, December 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Las Palmas

Although Las Palmas are currently enjoying a four-game unbeaten run, they will go up against an Athletic side that tends to perform well on home turf. With that in mind, we think that Los Leones will make full use of home advantage to edge out Las Palmas and finish the calendar year with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Las Palmas
48.62% ( 0.31)	25.77% ( 0.29)	25.6% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 50.08% (

-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.72% (

-1.54)

53.28% (

1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.16% (

-1.33)

74.83% (

1.32)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.07% (

-0.51)

21.93% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.79% (

-0.77)

55.2% (

0.77)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.14% (

-1.33)

35.85% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.37% (

-1.4)

72.63% (

1.4)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 48.61%

Las Palmas 25.61%

Draw 25.76%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Las Palmas
1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.24% Total : 48.61%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.94% Total : 25.61%