Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
28.29% ( -0.09) | 25.81% ( -0.06) | 45.91% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 52.03% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.27% ( 0.18) | 51.73% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.49% ( 0.15) | 73.51% ( -0.15) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% ( 0.03) | 32.86% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.57% ( 0.03) | 69.43% ( -0.03) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.5% ( 0.15) | 22.51% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% ( 0.22) | 56.07% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.29% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |