La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 8, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 1
Real Sociedad

Lino (22'), Griezmann (89' pen.)
Koke (48'), Galan (90+6'), Griezmann (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oyarzabal (73')
Le Normand (15'), Traore (86'), Fernandez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 3-2 Feyenoord
Wednesday, October 4 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Salzburg 0-2 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Sociedad

This has all of the makings of a cracking match, but we are finding it difficult to separate them. Atletico are the favourites on home soil, but Simeone's side have so many injury problems, especially at the back, and we are expecting Real Sociedad to be good enough for a point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 25.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
47.6% ( 0.1)	27.14% ( 0.28)	25.26% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 45.92% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.47% (

-1.22)

58.54% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.89% (

-0.96)

79.11% (

0.96)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.35% (

-0.49)

24.66% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.83% (

-0.69)

59.18% (

0.69)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.95% (

-1.02)

39.06% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.23% (

-0.97)

75.78% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 47.6%

Real Sociedad 25.26%

Draw 27.13%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 13.48% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.6%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.48% Total : 25.26%