La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 13, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
2 - 0
Real Sociedad

Yamal (40'), Raphinha (90+3' pen.)
Gundogan (51'), Raphinha (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aramburu (57'), Pacheco (64'), Odriozola (90+2')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 4-2 Barcelona
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Las Palmas
Saturday, May 4 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barcelona 2-1 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad need the points more than Barcelona, with the Basque outfit bidding to cement a Europa League spot, but the hosts will be determined to bounce back from their loss at Girona, and we are predicting a narrow home success on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Real Sociedad
47.03% ( 0.61)	24.31% ( -0.24)	28.66% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 57.13% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.83% (

0.85)

45.17% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.48% (

0.81)

67.51% (

-0.81)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.68% (

0.59)

19.32% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.92% (

0.97)

51.08% (

-0.97)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81% (

0.18)

29.19% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

0.22)

65.13% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 47.03%

Real Sociedad 28.66%

Draw 24.31%

Barcelona	Draw	Real Sociedad
2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 47.03%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.31%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.4% Total : 28.66%