Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
57.88% ( 0.02) | 24.72% ( -0.01) | 17.4% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 42.56% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.33% ( 0.01) | 57.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.57% ( 0.01) | 78.43% ( -0.01) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( 0.01) | 19.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.01% ( 0.02) | 51.98% ( -0.02) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.12% ( -0.01) | 46.88% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.6% ( -0.01) | 82.39% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 15.05% 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 57.87% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 17.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |