Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Cadiz |
56.2% ( -0.57) | 22.85% ( 0.09) | 20.95% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 53.67% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.15% ( 0.22) | 45.85% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.84% ( 0.21) | 68.16% ( -0.22) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.87% ( -0.12) | 16.12% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.45% ( -0.21) | 45.55% ( 0.21) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.99% ( 0.6) | 36.01% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.21% ( 0.61) | 72.79% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 56.2% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |