La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Mar 29, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla

Cadiz
1 - 0
Granada

Navarro (51')
Chust (70'), Alejo (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanchez (30'), Ruiz (45'), Rubio (70'), Corbeanu (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Cadiz
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Granada
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

There is no downplaying the importance of this contest to both sides, and we are expecting a close match on Friday. Granada have quality in the forward areas, and we are backing them to score, but it is tough to predict a clean sheet for the visitors, and Cadiz could shade this relegation six-pointer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Granada had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cadiz.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Granada
45.01% ( 0.21)	27.43% ( 0.02)	27.56% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.76% (

-0.2)

58.24% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.13% (

-0.16)

78.87% (

0.16)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

0.01)

25.79% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.26% (

0.02)

60.74% (

-0.02)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.08% (

-0.3)

36.92% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29% (

-0.3)

73.7% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 45.01%

Granada 27.56%

Draw 27.42%

Cadiz	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.01%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.8% Total : 27.56%