La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 28, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Alaves

Marin (35' og.)
de la Torre (15'), Aspas (52'), Beltran (52'), Strand Larsen (69'), Perez (75')
de la Torre (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Omorodion (73')
Lopez (78'), Rioja (90+5'), Marin (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 3-2 Celta Vigo
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celta Vigo 2-1 Alaves

Thursday's encounter pits a team that has struggled on home turf against a side that has lost their last nine La Liga away matches. While hopes of a victory may be slim in both camps, recent history suggests that Celta Vigo may have the edge after winning their previous five meetings with Alaves, which is why we think that the hosts may sneak over the line to claim three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Alaves
42.28% ( -0.04)	29.54% ( 0.06)	28.18% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 41.68% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.15% (

-0.18)

64.85% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.21% (

-0.12)

83.79% (

0.12)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58% (

-0.11)

30.42% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38% (

-0.13)

66.62% (

0.14)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.91% (

-0.11)

40.09% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.27% (

-0.1)

76.73% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 42.28%

Alaves 28.17%

Draw 29.53%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 14.51% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 42.28%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.53%	0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 28.17%