Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (12.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Valencia |
35.74% ( -0.34) | 30.27% ( -0.1) | 33.99% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 41.41% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.05% ( 0.31) | 65.95% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.45% ( 0.21) | 84.55% ( -0.21) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.96% ( -0.06) | 35.04% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.22% ( -0.06) | 71.78% ( 0.06) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.75% ( 0.48) | 36.25% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.97% ( 0.48) | 73.03% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.26% | 0-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 33.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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