Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Monza |
34.16% ( 0.57) | 25.55% ( -0.03) | 40.29% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 55.47% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.55% ( 0.26) | 48.45% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.41% ( 0.24) | 70.58% ( -0.24) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.79% ( 0.47) | 27.21% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.38% ( 0.61) | 62.62% ( -0.61) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.2% ( -0.15) | 23.8% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.04% ( -0.22) | 57.96% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.16% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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