Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 16, 2023 at 5pm UK

Helsingin olympiastadion

Finland
2 - 0
Slovenia

Pohjanpalo (13'), Antman (64')
Niskanen (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sporar (55')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Finland and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Finland
Sunday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	2	3	6
2	Denmark	2	1	3
3	Northern Ireland	2	1	3
4	Kazakhstan	2	0	3
5	Finland	2	-1	3
6	San Marino	2	-4	0

Slovenia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Slovenia 2-0 San Marino
Sunday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	2	3	6
2	Denmark	2	1	3
3	Northern Ireland	2	1	3
4	Kazakhstan	2	0	3
5	Finland	2	-1	3
6	San Marino	2	-4	0

While Finland have managed to win just three of their last 15 games, Slovenia have lost only two of their previous 14, so we expect the visitors to extend their winning streak by notching a narrow victory in Helsinki. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Finland had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.2%) and 1-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-0 (12.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Finland	Draw	Slovenia
32.99% ( 0.01)	30.67% ( -0)	36.33% ( -0)

Both teams to score 40.32% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.79% (

0.01)

67.2% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.59% (

0.01)

85.4% (

-0.01)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.34% (

0.01)

37.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.56% (

0.01)

74.44% (

-0.01)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.67% (

35.32% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.91% (

0.01)

72.08% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Finland 32.99%

Slovenia 36.33%

Draw 30.66%

Finland	Draw	Slovenia
1-0 @ 12.99% 2-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 32.99%	1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 13.3% 2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.66%	0-1 @ 13.84% 0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.12% Total : 36.33%