Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 3
Stuttgart

Kubler (45+11')
Streich (21'), Ginter (41'), Eggestein (45+4'), Kubler (90'), Philipp (90+9')
Rohl (18')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Undav (3'), Fuhrich (7'), Mittelstadt (74')
Mittelstadt (72'), Stiller (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 5-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Stuttgart

Stuttgart have lost three on the trot on their travels, and that could become four losses in succession against a Freiburg team that are undefeated at the Europa-Park Stadion since mid-September, with that 4-2 loss to Dortmund still the club's only home Bundesliga reverse this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Stuttgart
44.13% ( 0.46)	23.26% ( 0.06)	32.6% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 63.09% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.71% (

-0.51)

38.29% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.43% (

-0.54)

60.57% (

0.54)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23% (

-0.02)

17.76% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.53% (

-0.03)

48.46% (

0.03)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72% (

-0.54)

23.27% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.79% (

-0.79)

57.2% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 44.13%

Stuttgart 32.6%

Draw 23.26%

Freiburg	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.89% Total : 44.13%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.26%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.6%