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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
64.21% ( 0.01) | 18.85% ( -0) | 16.94% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 60.33% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.34% ( 0.01) | 33.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.53% ( 0.02) | 55.48% ( -0.01) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.05% ( 0.01) | 9.95% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.09% ( 0.01) | 32.91% ( -0.01) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67% ( 0) | 33% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.41% ( 0) | 69.59% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.74% 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 4.44% Total : 64.21% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.85% | 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.92% Total : 16.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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