Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Salernitana |
52.8% ( 0.01) | 24.62% ( -0) | 22.58% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.63% ( 0.01) | 51.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.81% ( 0.01) | 73.19% ( -0.01) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.58% ( 0.01) | 19.42% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.76% ( 0.01) | 51.24% ( -0.01) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.47% ( -0) | 37.53% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.69% ( -0) | 74.31% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 11.94% 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.93% Total : 52.79% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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