Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Torino |
26.17% ( -2.47) | 27.19% ( -0.54) | 46.64% ( 3.01) |
Both teams to score 46.5% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.84% ( 0.66) | 58.15% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.19% ( 0.52) | 78.81% ( -0.51) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.95% ( -1.68) | 38.04% ( 1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.19% ( -1.66) | 74.81% ( 1.67) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.05% ( 1.82) | 24.95% ( -1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% ( 2.46) | 59.58% ( -2.46) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.55) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.17% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.29) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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