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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
50.7% ( 0.61) | 22.83% ( 0.04) | 26.46% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 60.44% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60% ( -0.74) | 40% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.64% ( -0.77) | 62.36% ( 0.77) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.05% ( -0.06) | 15.95% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.78% ( -0.1) | 45.22% ( 0.1) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% ( -0.86) | 28.1% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% ( -1.1) | 63.77% ( 1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.7% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.63% Total : 26.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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