Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

PreZero Arena

Hoffenheim
2 - 1
Werder Bremen

Beier (8', 44')
Grillitsch (49'), Tohumcu (51'), Bulter (61'), Kaderabek (78')
Bulter (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Alvero (90+2')
Deman (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 25 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 Darmstadt
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Werder Bremen

Bremen's excellent recent away form has lifted them into European contention, but a draw with Darmstadt last weekend exposed their shortcomings again. Hoffenheim have struggled on home soil but should bring plenty of confidence into this tight encounter after winning at Dortmund last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hoffenheim in this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Werder Bremen
54.95% ( 1.15)	21.82% ( -0.31)	23.22% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 60.4% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.57% (

0.5)

38.43% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.28% (

0.53)

60.71% (

-0.54)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.02% (

0.54)

13.97% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.52% (

1.06)

41.47% (

-1.06)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

-0.42)

29.78% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

-0.51)

65.85% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 54.95%

Werder Bremen 23.22%

Draw 21.82%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.45% Total : 54.95%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.82%	1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.22%