Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 7, 2023 at 5pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
2 - 0
Torino

Gatti (47'), Milik (62')
Gatti (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bellanova (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Juventus
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torino

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Hellas Verona
Monday, October 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Only two teams have more clean sheets than either Torino or Juventus in Serie A this season, and both clubs' coaches are tactically rigorous with an emphasis on organisation. Therefore, a low-scoring derby is on the cards for Saturday evening, and - as ever - Juve will come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Torino
45.31% ( 0.02)	27.87% ( 0)	26.82% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.15% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.88% (

-0.02)

60.11% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.67% (

-0.02)

80.32% (

0.02)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5% (

-0)

26.5% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.3% (

-0.01)

61.69% (

0.01)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.43% (

-0.03)

38.57% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.69% (

-0.03)

75.31% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Juventus 45.3%

Torino 26.82%

Draw 27.86%

Juventus	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 13.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.95% Total : 45.3%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 26.82%