La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 10, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Coco (64'), Cardona (81'), Valles (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guruzeta (31'), Coco (65' og.)
Vivian (48'), de Marcos (67'), Paredes (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 3-3 Las Palmas
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Barcelona
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Las Palmas 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

There have only been two goals in the last three La Liga meetings between these two sides, and we are expecting another tight match on Sunday. Athletic need to win to stay in the top-four race, but Las Palmas have been so impressive this season, and we are expecting the hosts to be good enough for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
26.9% ( -0.08)	26.73% ( 0.03)	46.37% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 48.32% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.92% (

-0.15)

56.07% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.85% (

-0.12)

77.15% (

0.12)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.71% (

-0.15)

36.29% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.92% (

-0.15)

73.07% (

0.14)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

-0.05)

24.16% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.52% (

-0.06)

58.47% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 26.9%

Athletic Bilbao 46.37%

Draw 26.73%

Las Palmas	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.9%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.37%