Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
20.58% ( 1.81) | 24.49% ( 0.71) | 54.92% ( -2.52) |
Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.02% ( -0.48) | 52.97% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.42% ( -0.41) | 74.57% ( 0.41) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.55% ( 1.72) | 40.45% ( -1.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.94% ( 1.52) | 77.06% ( -1.52) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% ( -1.13) | 19.2% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.1% ( -1.9) | 50.89% ( 1.9) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.58% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 10.57% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.82% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 54.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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