Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Feb 18, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 2
Bologna

Isaksen (18')
Cataldi (35'), Marusic (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

El Azzouzi (39'), Zirkzee (78')
Fabbian (25'), El Azzouzi (46'), Aebischer (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Bayern
Wednesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, February 14 at 6pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mental fatigue may be a factor for Lazio, given their mighty efforts in midweek, and they may have to settle for a point against able opposition. Bologna are rarely able to produce wins away from home but have re-found their rhythm and can cause the hosts plenty of problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 44.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Bologna
44.25% ( -1.31)	28.7% ( 0.54)	27.05% ( 0.78)

Both teams to score 43.15% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.29% (

-1.34)

62.71% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.74% (

-0.98)

82.26% (

0.99)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.72% (

-1.32)

28.28% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36% (

-1.7)

64% (

1.71)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.17% (

-0.08)

39.83% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.5% (

-0.07)

76.49% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Lazio 44.24%

Bologna 27.04%

Draw 28.69%

Lazio	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 14.22% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.24%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.69%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.4% Total : 27.04%