Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Genoa |
48.99% ( -1.29) | 27.92% ( 0.35) | 23.09% ( 0.93) |
Both teams to score 42% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.45% ( -0.42) | 62.55% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.86% ( -0.31) | 82.14% ( 0.3) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( -0.8) | 25.8% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.25% ( -1.1) | 60.75% ( 1.1) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.6% ( 0.7) | 43.4% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.37% ( 0.58) | 79.62% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 15.16% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.95% Total : 48.98% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.48% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 23.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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