Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
2 - 2
Montpellier

Wahi (4'), Machado (45+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Maamma (58'), Mincarelli (74')
Khazri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Lens
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lens 1-0 Montpellier HSC

Lens will have the motivation of European football being on the line in this game, while the visitors have nothing left to play for, leading us to believe the hosts will win this one. One goal has been the difference in five of the last six victories for either side in this fixture, and we believe this one will follow the same pattern with a 1-0 win for Lens. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Montpellier HSC
52.79% ( 1.17)	22.93% ( 0.06)	24.27% ( -1.23)

Both teams to score 57.77% (

-1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.52% (

-1.46)

42.48% (

1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.11% (

-1.47)

64.88% (

1.47)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89% (

-0.11)

16.11% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.48% (

-0.21)

45.52% (

0.21)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.87% (

-1.76)

31.13% (

1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.54% (

-2.11)

67.46% (

2.11)

Score Analysis

Lens 52.79%

Montpellier HSC 24.27%

Draw 22.93%

Lens	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.79%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.8% Total : 24.27%