Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Lorient |
63.21% ( -0.34) | 20.09% ( 0.03) | 16.69% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 55.16% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9% ( 0.45) | 40.1% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.53% ( 0.46) | 62.47% ( -0.46) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.92% ( 0.04) | 12.08% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.38% ( 0.09) | 37.62% ( -0.09) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.74% ( 0.65) | 37.26% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.95% ( 0.64) | 74.04% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 63.21% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.28% Total : 16.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |