Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
1 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Burkardt (12')
Barreiro (50'), Henriksen (57'), Kohr (58'), Mwene (81'), Amiri (90+3')
Kohr (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

N'Goumou (55')
N'Goumou (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Mainz
Friday, February 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Neither side is in positive form, and the spoils could be shared at the home of the strugglers this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
54.72% ( -0.18)	22.05% ( 0.19)	23.23% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.57% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.47% (

-0.88)

39.54% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.12% (

-0.92)

61.88% (

0.93)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.57% (

-0.35)

14.43% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.64% (

-0.7)

42.36% (

0.71)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.61% (

-0.48)

30.39% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.41% (

-0.58)

66.59% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 54.72%

Borussia Monchengladbach 23.23%

Draw 22.05%

Mainz 05	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.72%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.05%	1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.23%