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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 80.9%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 7.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.49%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.19%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
80.9% ( 0.09) | 11.11% ( 0.06) | 7.99% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 63.57% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
82.21% ( -0.95) | 17.79% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
65.13% ( -1.43) | 34.87% ( 1.43) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.62% ( -0.16) | 3.37% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.19% ( -0.54) | 14.8% ( 0.54) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% ( -1.24) | 34.21% ( 1.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% ( -1.35) | 70.91% ( 1.35) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
3-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.37) 4-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.18) 5-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.15) 6-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.13) 6-0 @ 2.43% ( 0) 6-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.1) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.1) 7-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) 7-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 5.06% Total : 80.9% | 1-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.41% Total : 11.11% | 1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.14% Total : 7.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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