Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
53.39% ( 0.02) | 22.17% ( -0.01) | 24.44% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.67% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.25% ( 0.03) | 38.74% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.95% ( 0.03) | 61.05% ( -0.03) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.41% ( 0.02) | 14.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.34% ( 0.03) | 42.66% ( -0.03) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.02% | 28.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.13% ( 0) | 64.86% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 9.7% 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.4% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 24.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |