Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
53.39% ( 0.02) | 22.17% ( -0.01) | 24.44% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.67% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.25% ( 0.03) | 38.74% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.95% ( 0.03) | 61.05% ( -0.03) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.41% ( 0.02) | 14.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.34% ( 0.03) | 42.66% ( -0.03) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.02% | 28.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.13% ( 0) | 64.86% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 9.7% 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.4% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 24.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |