Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25

Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
1 - 0
Clermont

Mikautadze (33' pen.)
Jean Jacques (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Matsima (45'), Borges (54'), Carpini (60'), Gastien (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Metz
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Metz will have taken plenty of confidence from returning to winning ways last weekend, and they will be viewing this match as the perfect opportunity to cut the gap to the teams ahead of them. However, Clermont should not be underestimated given their high performance levels last season, especially as this game could be their last chance saloon in terms of saving themselves from relegation. We can envisage a nervy draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Clermont
46.69% ( -0.76)	26.73% ( 0.02)	26.58% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 48.1% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.75% (

0.38)

56.25% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.71% (

0.3)

77.29% (

-0.3)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.92% (

-0.19)

24.08% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.64% (

-0.28)

58.36% (

0.28)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36% (

0.84)

36.65% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.57% (

0.83)

73.44% (

-0.83)

Score Analysis

Metz 46.69%

Clermont 26.58%

Draw 26.73%

Metz	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.69%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.83% Total : 26.58%