Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Metz had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Metz |
60.97% ( 0.57) | 22.77% ( -0.04) | 16.26% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 45.68% ( -0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.73% ( -0.7) | 52.27% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.03% ( -0.61) | 73.97% ( 0.61) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.26% ( -0.05) | 16.74% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.35% ( -0.09) | 46.65% ( 0.09) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.86% ( -1.12) | 45.14% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.96% ( -0.9) | 81.04% ( 0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 13.5% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 60.97% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.66% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.44% Total : 16.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |