Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-3 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Metz win it was 2-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
12.8% ( -0.18) | 16.57% ( 0) | 70.63% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.33% ( -0.5) | 31.67% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.82% ( -0.58) | 53.18% ( 0.58) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.01% ( -0.61) | 36.99% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.22% ( -0.61) | 73.78% ( 0.61) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.02% ( -0.09) | 7.98% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.84% ( -0.22) | 28.16% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 12.8% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.57% | 0-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.95% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 5.03% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 1.07% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.6% Total : 70.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |