Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Metz |
42.91% ( 0.15) | 25.6% ( 0.02) | 31.49% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 54.44% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.6% ( -0.15) | 49.4% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.56% ( -0.14) | 71.44% ( 0.14) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( 0.01) | 22.91% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.32% ( 0.01) | 56.68% ( -0) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% ( -0.19) | 29.38% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% ( -0.23) | 65.36% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.91% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |