Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Roma |
29.86% ( -0.16) | 26.91% ( -0.1) | 43.23% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 49.6% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.69% ( 0.3) | 55.31% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.47% ( 0.24) | 76.53% ( -0.24) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.45% ( 0.04) | 33.55% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.81% ( 0.04) | 70.19% ( -0.04) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% ( 0.27) | 25.37% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.84% ( 0.36) | 60.16% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.86% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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