Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Torino had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Torino |
46.06% ( -0.2) | 27.4% ( 0.11) | 26.53% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 46.18% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.3% ( -0.36) | 58.69% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.77% ( -0.28) | 79.23% ( 0.28) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.53% ( -0.26) | 25.47% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.69% ( -0.36) | 60.3% ( 0.36) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.97% ( -0.13) | 38.03% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.2% ( -0.12) | 74.79% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.06% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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