Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 11.30am UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
3 - 0
Salernitana

Colpani (9'), Vignato (18'), Pessina (82' pen.)
Vignato (29')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bradaric (63'), Coulibaly (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-1 Monza
Monday, October 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Monza 1-1 Salernitana

Neither side is prolific, so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards for Serie A's Sunday lunchtime kickoff. Salernitana may have to wait a while longer for their first league victory of the season, as Monza are generally tough to beat on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Salernitana
57.08% ( -2.01)	23.38% ( 0.81)	19.53% ( 1.2)

Both teams to score 49.82% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.11% (

-1.61)

49.88% (

1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.12% (

-1.46)

71.88% (

1.45)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.75% (

-1.27)

17.25% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.43% (

-2.28)

47.56% (

2.27)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.2% (

0.41)

39.79% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.53% (

0.37)

76.46% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Monza 57.08%

Salernitana 19.53%

Draw 23.37%

Monza	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.73% Total : 57.08%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.37%	0-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.53%