La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 17, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Real Sociedad

Valverde (46'), Joselu (60')
Tchouameni (33'), Garcia (71'), Alaba (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Barrenetxea (5')
Merino (68'), Traore (77')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Getafe
Saturday, September 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 5-3 Granada
Saturday, September 2 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Real Sociedad

This has all of the makings of an excellent match, and we are expecting Real Sociedad to make this a very uncomfortable evening for Real Madrid. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Los Blancos will be able to navigate their way to another important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
44.91% ( -0.49)	27.08% ( 0.38)	28.01% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 48.07% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.23% (

-1.37)

56.77% (

1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.29% (

-1.11)

77.71% (

1.11)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82% (

-0.85)

25.18% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1% (

-1.18)

59.9% (

1.18)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25% (

-0.65)

35.75% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48% (

-0.68)

72.52% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 44.9%

Real Sociedad 28.01%

Draw 27.08%

Real Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.9%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.99% Total : 28.01%