Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
1 - 1
Frosinone

Cabral (52')
Mazzocchi (48'), Lovato (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Romagnoli (12')
Caso (30'), Okoli (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Torino
Monday, September 18 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Salernitana 0-1 Frosinone

Goals have not been commonplace in recent meetings between these sides, and another cagey encounter could be on the cards. Without Dia, Salernitana have struggled heavily in front of goal though, and an in-form Frosinone may just edge this close-looking matchup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Frosinone
24.4% ( -0.21)	25.74% ( 0.03)	49.86% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 49.05% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.93% (

-0.29)

54.07% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.5% (

-0.24)

75.49% (

0.24)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.66% (

-0.34)

37.34% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.87% (

-0.34)

74.12% (

0.34)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28% (

-0.04)

21.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.12% (

-0.07)

54.88% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 24.4%

Frosinone 49.86%

Draw 25.73%

Salernitana	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.4%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 49.86%